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Exhibit 5.15 Forecasts of FTE Nurse Demand: Baseline Scenario

Setting	Base Year	Forecasts
Setting	1996	2000	2005	2010	2015	2020	% Increase 2000-2020
Registered Nurses
Total	1,889,326	2,001,198	2,160,980	2,346,388	2,568,253	2,822,388	41
Hospitals	1,165,688	1,239,539	1,324,818	1,427,876	1,555,591	1,698,873	37
ST, inpatient	828,316	874,747	930,249	999,094	1,086,838	1,187,002	36
ST, outpatient	69,281	83,451	95,861	110,395	126,381	142,024	70
ST, emergency	88,699	90,335	92,217	94,487	97,317	100,399	11
LT hospitals	179,392	191,007	206,491	223,900	245,054	269,448	41
Nursing facilities	147,722	172,750	197,005	224,006	252,922	286,355	66
Doctors’ offices	145,941	155,001	166,394	178,789	191,585	204,674	32
Home health	145,754	132,016	157,334	187,482	226,241	275,633	109
Occupational health	19,180	20,040	20,984	21,826	22,241	22,390	12
School health	53,628	57,638	59,657	60,419	61,060	62,244	8
Public health	94,194	99,758	103,520	107,337	111,491	115,785	16
Nurse education	43,322	45,918	49,590	53,781	58,769	64,468	40
Other health care	73,898	78,537	81,678	84,872	88,354	91,966	17
Licensed Practical Nurses
Total	578,444	617,946	675,190	740,928	816,291	905,159	46
Hospitals	145,405	150,608	158,326	167,709	179,544	193,135	28
ST hospitals	128,269	131,885	138,116	145,745	155,373	166,383	26
LT hospitals	17,135	18,723	20,210	21,964	24,171	26,752	43
Nursing facilities	194,670	223,334	254,114	289,038	326,761	371,020	66
Home health	53,633	48,226	59,501	73,548	91,398	114,240	137
Other health care	184,736	195,778	203,250	210,633	218,588	226,764	16
Nurse Aides/Auxiliaries
Total	1,487,915	1,545,722	1,702,803	1,880,368	2,083,860	2,323,518	50
Hospitals	274,029	284,514	300,794	320,992	347,215	377,580	33
ST hospitals	218,640	222,834	232,918	245,653	262,564	282,325	27
LT hospitals	55,389	61,680	67,877	75,339	84,652	95,255	54
Nursing facilities	607,127	692,415	781,447	881,493	988,620	1,113,474	61
Home health	391,798	340,796	384,333	433,517	494,831	570,142	67
Other health care	214,961	227,997	236,228	244,366	253,193	262,322	15

Source: The Nursing Demand Model: Development and Baseline Forecasts (Dall and Hogan, 2002).