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Physician Supply and Demand: Projections to 2020

 

Printer-friendly Physician Supply & Demand Report
Background
Physician Supply Model
Current Physician Workforce
New Entrants and Choice of Medical Specialty
Separations from the Physician Workforce
Trends in Physician Productivity
Physician Supply Projections
Physician Requirements Model
Growth and Aging of the Population
Medical Insurance Trends
Economic Factors
Other Potential Determinants of Demand for Physicians
Physician Requirements Projections
Assessing the Adequacy of Current and Future Supply
Summary

References

 

Exhibit 18. Alternative Patient Care Supply Projections


Line graph
The vertical axis title is Thousands of Physicians.
It is numbered from 700 to 1,100 in increments of 100.
The horizontal axis is Year. It is numbered from 2000 to 2020.

The lines are color coded.
There is a legend indicating the colors as follows:

The green line is Total FTE Physicians (based on hours worked and annual 1$% productivity increases)
The blue line is Total Physicians
The red line is Total FTE Physicians (based on hours worked)

The table below contains approximate values based on the numbers in the Line Graph:

Thousands of Physicians
Year 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Green 714 800 900 1000 1057
Red 714 750 800 840 866
Blue 714 750 810 850 891

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