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Physician Supply and Demand: Projections to 2020
 

Printer-friendly Physician Supply & Demand Report
Background
Physician Supply Model
Current Physician Workforce
New Entrants and Choice of Medical Specialty
Separations from the Physician Workforce
Trends in Physician Productivity
Physician Supply Projections
Physician Requirements Model
Growth and Aging of the Population
Medical Insurance Trends
Economic Factors
Other Potential Determinants of Demand for Physicians
Physician Requirements Projections
Assessing the Adequacy of Current and Future Supply
Summary

References
 

Exhibit 19. Increased Output from U.S. Medical Schools

Line Graph
Vertical Axis: Number of Physicians numbered from 800,000 to 1,050,000 in increments of 50,000.
Horizontal Axis: Year 2005 to 2020 in increments of 5 years
The Line Graph is Color coded:
Blue line: Baseline
Green line: Increase the number of new US medical school graduates by 10%
Red line: Increase the number of new US medical school graduates by 20%
Number of Physicians (Thousands)
Year(s) 2005 between 2010 and 2015 between 2015 and 2020 2020
Green 825 900 950 over 950
Red 825 900 950 over 1000
Blue 825 over 850 over 900 950

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