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Physician Supply and Demand: Projections to 2020

 

Printer-friendly Physician Supply & Demand Report
Background
Physician Supply Model
Current Physician Workforce
New Entrants and Choice of Medical Specialty
Separations from the Physician Workforce
Trends in Physician Productivity
Physician Supply Projections
Physician Requirements Model
Growth and Aging of the Population
Medical Insurance Trends
Economic Factors
Other Potential Determinants of Demand for Physicians
Physician Requirements Projections
Assessing the Adequacy of Current and Future Supply
Summary

References

 

Exhibit 27. Percentage Growth in Patient Care Physician Requirements


Line Graph
Vertical Axis: Percent Growth (Relative to 2005) increments of 5%
Horizontal Axis: Years from 2000 to 2020 increments of 5 years
Lines are Color-coded:
Blue: Total Patient Care
Green: Primary Care
Red: Nonprimary Care

Percent Growth
Year 2005 2010 2015 2020
Red 0 >5% 15% 22%
Blue 0 >5% >10% 22%
Green 0 >5% >10% 20%

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